Georgia - Percent Drop in Total, Democrat, and Republican Votes from President to US House in 2024
North Carolina - Percent New in Total, Democrat, and Republican Votes from Governor to President in 2024
North Carolina - Percent New in Total, Democrat, and Republican Votes from Lt. Governor to President in 2024
North Carolina - Percent New in Total, Democrat, and Republican Votes from US House to President in 2024
Pennsylvania, Allegheny County - Percent Drop in Total Votes from President to US Senate in 2024
Georgia - Percent Drop in Total, Democrat, and Republican Votes from President to US House in 2024
The following 3 graphs show the percentage of voters in a first race who appear not to vote in a second race. Taking T, D, and R to denote Total, Democrat, and Republican votes and taking 1 and 2 to denote the first and second race, the y-values in the graphs are calculated via the following formulas:
100 * (T1 - T2) / T1 100 * (D1 - D2) / D1 100 * (R1 - R2) / R1Any further discussion of each of the following graphs appears below them:
The above graph shows what are sometimes called "bullet ballots" in that it shows the percentage of ballots which voted in a first race (President) which did not vote in a second race (US House). These are "on net" in that any ballot that voted in the US House race but not in the Presidential race will be offset by one of the ballots that voted in the Presidential race but not in the House race. The y-scale was set to show just those points with the highest percentages.
Because of the difficulty in reading the names of the precincts from 7.5 to 9.5 percent, the above graph shows a closeup of that range. The tables below show the numbers for the precincts above with percentages of 7.5 and above. All of the numbers shown are for complete counties except for Fulton. It's often a good idea to check to see if any of the House races (there can be more than one) are unopposed or otherwise do not include both a Democrat and Republican candidate as that can affect the number of voters who vote for that race.
GA: % Drop in Total Votes from 2024 President of the US to 2024 US House of Representatives (Count % drop)
COUNTY (ALL) AREA Dem Rep MARGIN1 TOTAL1 Dem.1 Rep.1 MARGIN2 TOTAL2 DEM_SH REP_SH MAR_SH TOT_SH
10 ATKINSON AXSON 40 460 -420 502 42 424 -382 466 -5.00 7.83 9.05 7.17
11 ATKINSON PEARSON CITY 233 183 50 417 200 179 21 379 14.16 2.19 58.00 9.11
12 ATKINSON PEARSON COUNTY 144 1,127 -983 1,272 131 1,092 -961 1,223 9.03 3.11 2.24 3.85
13 ATKINSON WILLACOOCHEE 283 580 -297 866 233 582 -349 815 17.67 -0.34 -17.51 5.89
COUNTY (ALL) AREA Dem Rep MARGIN1 TOTAL1 Dem.1 Rep.1 MARGIN2 TOTAL2 DEM_SH REP_SH MAR_SH TOT_SH
20 BALDWIN CITY HALL ANNEX 323 144 179 471 276 160 116 436 14.55 -11.11 35.20 7.43
21 BALDWIN COOPERS 318 889 -571 1,212 282 880 -598 1,162 11.32 1.01 -4.73 4.13
22 BALDWIN COURTHOUSE 161 118 43 284 150 119 31 269 6.83 -0.85 27.91 5.28
23 BALDWIN EAST BALDWIN 1,242 1,672 -430 2,926 1,112 1,714 -602 2,826 10.47 -2.51 -40.00 3.42
24 BALDWIN EAST HARDWICK 477 141 336 622 418 135 283 553 12.37 4.26 15.77 11.09
25 BALDWIN EAST MILLEDGEVILLE 503 161 342 665 453 172 281 625 9.94 -6.83 17.84 6.02
26 BALDWIN MERIWETHER 900 1,554 -654 2,464 803 1,583 -780 2,386 10.78 -1.87 -19.27 3.17
27 BALDWIN NORTH BALDWIN 862 2,020 -1,158 2,897 719 2,056 -1,337 2,775 16.59 -1.78 -15.46 4.21
28 BALDWIN NORTH MILLEDGEVILLE 859 777 82 1,644 747 840 -93 1,587 13.04 -8.11 213.41 3.47
29 BALDWIN SCOTTSBORO 264 453 -189 719 227 441 -214 668 14.02 2.65 -13.23 7.09
30 BALDWIN SOUTH MILLEDGEVILLE 534 163 371 701 484 175 309 659 9.36 -7.36 16.71 5.99
31 BALDWIN WEST BALDWIN 629 813 -184 1,448 554 824 -270 1,378 11.92 -1.35 -46.74 4.83
32 BALDWIN WEST HARDWICK 1,398 450 948 1,859 1,226 481 745 1,707 12.30 -6.89 21.41 8.18
33 BALDWIN WEST THOMAS 689 219 470 913 611 230 381 841 11.32 -5.02 18.94 7.89
COUNTY (ALL) AREA Dem Rep MARGIN1 TOTAL1 Dem.1 Rep.1 MARGIN2 TOTAL2 DEM_SH REP_SH MAR_SH TOT_SH
461 CLINCH ARGYLE 31 238 -207 269 30 214 -184 244 3.23 10.08 11.11 9.29
462 CLINCH DUPONT 47 205 -158 252 46 191 -145 237 2.13 6.83 8.23 5.95
463 CLINCH FARGO 18 166 -148 184 23 148 -125 171 -27.78 10.84 15.54 7.07
464 CLINCH HOMERVILLE 598 1,512 -914 2,115 438 1,481 -1,043 1,919 26.76 2.05 -14.11 9.27
COUNTY (ALL) AREA Dem Rep MARGIN1 TOTAL1 Dem.1 Rep.1 MARGIN2 TOTAL2 DEM_SH REP_SH MAR_SH TOT_SH
613 COFFEE AMBROSE 261 1,211 -950 1,474 212 1,150 -938 1,362 18.77 5.04 1.26 7.60
614 COFFEE BRIDGETOWN 58 185 -127 244 50 185 -135 235 13.79 0.00 -6.30 3.69
615 COFFEE BROXTON 359 1,357 -998 1,720 330 1,313 -983 1,643 8.08 3.24 1.50 4.48
616 COFFEE DOUGLAS 3,308 6,786 -3,478 10,118 2,936 6,713 -3,777 9,649 11.25 1.08 -8.60 4.64
617 COFFEE NICHOLLS 271 1,138 -867 1,409 233 1,090 -857 1,323 14.02 4.22 1.15 6.10
618 COFFEE WEST GREEN 38 711 -673 750 36 683 -647 719 5.26 3.94 3.86 4.13
COUNTY (ALL) AREA Dem Rep MARGIN1 TOTAL1 Dem.1 Rep.1 MARGIN2 TOTAL2 DEM_SH REP_SH MAR_SH TOT_SH
938 DODGE CHAUN 52 270 -218 322 40 264 -224 304 23.08 2.22 -2.75 5.59
939 DODGE EDDIN 242 551 -309 796 192 580 -388 772 20.66 -5.26 -25.57 3.02
940 DODGE EMPIR 34 319 -285 353 22 322 -300 344 35.29 -0.94 -5.26 2.55
941 DODGE JAYBI 54 108 -54 162 49 106 -57 155 9.26 1.85 -5.56 4.32
942 DODGE JONES 37 297 -260 334 33 291 -258 324 10.81 2.02 0.77 2.99
943 DODGE LEE 1,143 2,024 -881 3,179 931 2,103 -1,172 3,034 18.55 -3.90 -33.03 4.56
944 DODGE MCCRA 28 216 -188 244 16 217 -201 233 42.86 -0.46 -6.91 4.51
945 DODGE MILAN 45 204 -159 249 35 203 -168 238 22.22 0.49 -5.66 4.42
946 DODGE MITCH 53 257 -204 310 41 259 -218 300 22.64 -0.78 -6.86 3.23
947 DODGE MULLI 71 306 -235 378 55 309 -254 364 22.54 -0.98 -8.09 3.70
948 DODGE PLAIN 33 350 -317 384 29 347 -318 376 12.12 0.86 -0.32 2.08
949 DODGE PONDT 105 448 -343 555 80 444 -364 524 23.81 0.89 -6.12 5.59
950 DODGE RAWLI 156 484 -328 640 125 487 -362 612 19.87 -0.62 -10.37 4.38
951 DODGE VILUL 8 150 -142 159 7 140 -133 147 12.50 6.67 6.34 7.55
952 DODGE YONKE 17 191 -174 208 14 185 -171 199 17.65 3.14 1.72 4.33
COUNTY (ALL) AREA Dem Rep MARGIN1 TOTAL1 Dem.1 Rep.1 MARGIN2 TOTAL2 DEM_SH REP_SH MAR_SH TOT_SH
1045 EMANUEL ADRIAN 75 509 -434 587 70 496 -426 566 6.67 2.55 1.84 3.58
1046 EMANUEL BLUNDALE 31 600 -569 631 34 591 -557 625 -9.68 1.50 2.11 0.95
1047 EMANUEL CANOOCHEE 85 425 -340 511 66 432 -366 498 22.35 -1.65 -7.65 2.54
1048 EMANUEL CROSS-GREEN 106 81 25 187 75 88 -13 163 29.25 -8.64 152.00 12.83
1049 EMANUEL GARFIELD 65 306 -241 371 55 306 -251 361 15.38 0.00 -4.15 2.70
1050 EMANUEL NUNEZ 49 254 -205 303 39 253 -214 292 20.41 0.39 -4.39 3.63
1051 EMANUEL OAK PARK 43 478 -435 521 37 478 -441 515 13.95 0.00 -1.38 1.15
1052 EMANUEL STILLMORE 132 289 -157 423 116 293 -177 409 12.12 -1.38 -12.74 3.31
1053 EMANUEL SUMMERTOWN 81 311 -230 393 68 309 -241 377 16.05 0.64 -4.78 4.07
1054 EMANUEL SWAINSBORO 1,648 2,846 -1,198 4,511 1,437 2,908 -1,471 4,345 12.80 -2.18 -22.79 3.68
1055 EMANUEL TWIN CITY 358 820 -462 1,181 312 825 -513 1,137 12.85 -0.61 -11.04 3.73
COUNTY (PARTIAL) AREA Dem Rep MARGIN1 TOTAL1 Dem.1 Rep.1 MARGIN2 TOTAL2 DEM_SH REP_SH MAR_SH TOT_SH
1370 FULTON CP05C 911 57 854 973 884 61 823 945 2.96 -7.02 3.63 2.88
1371 FULTON CP06A 193 23 170 221 195 22 173 217 -1.04 4.35 -1.76 1.81
1372 FULTON CP07A 205 7 198 212 198 9 189 207 3.41 -28.57 4.55 2.36
1373 FULTON CP07D 103 5 98 111 107 5 102 112 -3.88 0.00 -4.08 -0.90
1374 FULTON CP081 136 11 125 148 133 15 118 148 2.21 -36.36 5.60 0.00
1375 FULTON CP08A 156 14 142 170 146 11 135 157 6.41 21.43 4.93 7.65
1376 FULTON EP01A 1,505 144 1,361 1,676 1,510 139 1,371 1,649 -0.33 3.47 -0.73 1.61
1377 FULTON EP01B 1,096 94 1,002 1,200 1,085 93 992 1,178 1.00 1.06 1.00 1.83
1378 FULTON EP01C 380 50 330 437 380 46 334 426 0.00 8.00 -1.21 2.52
1379 FULTON EP01D 217 28 189 251 209 29 180 238 3.69 -3.57 4.76 5.18
1380 FULTON EP02A 1,038 73 965 1,123 1,013 62 951 1,075 2.41 15.07 1.45 4.27
COUNTY (ALL) AREA Dem Rep MARGIN1 TOTAL1 Dem.1 Rep.1 MARGIN2 TOTAL2 DEM_SH REP_SH MAR_SH TOT_SH
1834 HANCOCK DEVEREUX FIRE STATION 382 492 -110 880 336 511 -175 847 12.04 -3.86 -59.09 3.75
1835 HANCOCK HANCOCK BOE 484 157 327 641 409 172 237 581 15.50 -9.55 27.52 9.36
1836 HANCOCK HANCOCK SENIOR CITIZEN CENTER 312 82 230 395 272 100 172 372 12.82 -21.95 25.22 5.82
1837 HANCOCK MAYFIELD COMMUNITY CENTER 180 32 148 212 149 47 102 196 17.22 -46.88 31.08 7.55
1838 HANCOCK POWER OF GOD 366 117 249 484 312 134 178 446 14.75 -14.53 28.51 7.85
1839 HANCOCK SECOND BEULAH 280 54 226 334 253 61 192 314 9.64 -12.96 15.04 5.99
1840 HANCOCK SECOND DARRIEN 171 112 59 283 154 121 33 275 9.94 -8.04 44.07 2.83
1841 HANCOCK WARREN CHAPEL 93 169 -76 263 84 173 -89 257 9.68 -2.37 -17.11 2.28
1842 HANCOCK YOUTH CENTER 526 128 398 656 452 144 308 596 14.07 -12.50 22.61 9.15
COUNTY (ALL) AREA Dem Rep MARGIN1 TOTAL1 Dem.1 Rep.1 MARGIN2 TOTAL2 DEM_SH REP_SH MAR_SH TOT_SH
2021 LINCOLN BETHANY CHURCH 65 390 -325 461 62 393 -331 455 4.62 -0.77 -1.85 1.30
2022 LINCOLN FAITH TEMPLE OF LINCOLN 115 327 -212 444 96 333 -237 429 16.52 -1.83 -11.79 3.38
2023 LINCOLN LINCOLN CENTER 258 835 -577 1,098 225 851 -626 1,076 12.79 -1.92 -8.49 2.00
2024 LINCOLN LINCOLN CLUB HOUSE 371 328 43 699 310 336 -26 646 16.44 -2.44 160.47 7.58
2025 LINCOLN MARTINS CROSSROAD 143 717 -574 863 123 732 -609 855 13.99 -2.09 -6.10 0.93
2026 LINCOLN MIDWAY 131 413 -282 546 112 420 -308 532 14.50 -1.69 -9.22 2.56
2027 LINCOLN TABERNACLE 268 549 -281 820 227 562 -335 789 15.30 -2.37 -19.22 3.78
COUNTY (ALL) AREA Dem Rep MARGIN1 TOTAL1 Dem.1 Rep.1 MARGIN2 TOTAL2 DEM_SH REP_SH MAR_SH TOT_SH
2035 LOWNDES CLYATTVILLE COMMUNITY CENTER 526 1,257 -731 1,790 494 1,265 -771 1,759 6.08 -0.64 -5.47 1.73
2036 LOWNDES DASHER CITY HALL 328 1,409 -1,081 1,742 307 1,396 -1,089 1,703 6.40 0.92 -0.74 2.24
2037 LOWNDES ELECTIONS OFFICE 1,465 3,659 -2,194 5,149 1,218 3,844 -2,626 5,062 16.86 -5.06 -19.69 1.69
2038 LOWNDES HAHIRA COMMUNITY CENTER 189 667 -478 858 165 681 -516 846 12.70 -2.10 -7.95 1.40
2039 LOWNDES HISTORICAL SOCIETY 259 1,075 -816 1,340 222 1,096 -874 1,318 14.29 -1.95 -7.11 1.64
2040 LOWNDES JAYCEE COMMUNITY CENTER 1,100 1,321 -221 2,430 1,025 1,362 -337 2,387 6.82 -3.10 -52.49 1.77
2041 LOWNDES LAKE PARK 624 1,913 -1,289 2,544 557 1,940 -1,383 2,497 10.74 -1.41 -7.29 1.85
2042 LOWNDES LOWNDES CIVIC 3,226 1,605 1,621 4,856 2,973 1,681 1,292 4,654 7.84 -4.74 20.30 4.16
2043 LOWNDES MILDRED COMMUNITY CENTER 1,055 83 972 1,140 943 109 834 1,052 10.62 -31.33 14.20 7.72
2044 LOWNDES MT. CALVARY CHURCH 963 429 534 1,402 857 485 372 1,342 11.01 -13.05 30.34 4.28
2045 LOWNDES NAYLOR COMMUNITY CENTER 316 703 -387 1,021 290 705 -415 995 8.23 -0.28 -7.24 2.55
2046 LOWNDES NEW JERUSALEM 2,192 1,292 900 3,511 2,043 1,340 703 3,383 6.80 -3.72 21.89 3.65
2047 LOWNDES PINE GROVE CHURCH 988 1,412 -424 2,409 928 1,443 -515 2,371 6.07 -2.20 -21.46 1.58
2048 LOWNDES RAINWATER 4,231 6,920 -2,689 11,214 3,774 7,201 -3,427 10,975 10.80 -4.06 -27.45 2.13
2049 LOWNDES SOUTH LOWNDES RECREATION CENTER 266 1,337 -1,071 1,607 251 1,324 -1,073 1,575 5.64 0.97 -0.19 1.99
2050 LOWNDES TRAIN DEPOT 538 1,764 -1,226 2,311 494 1,773 -1,279 2,267 8.18 -0.51 -4.32 1.90
2051 LOWNDES TRINITY CHURCH 1,129 1,225 -96 2,368 1,050 1,272 -222 2,322 7.00 -3.84 -131.25 1.94
2052 LOWNDES VSU 92 10 82 103 93 11 82 104 -1.09 -10.00 0.00 -0.97
COUNTY (ALL) AREA Dem Rep MARGIN1 TOTAL1 Dem.1 Rep.1 MARGIN2 TOTAL2 DEM_SH REP_SH MAR_SH TOT_SH
2409 TALIAFERRO CRAWFORDVILLE 408 291 117 701 346 310 36 656 15.20 -6.53 69.23 6.42
2410 TALIAFERRO SHARON 99 84 15 183 77 92 -15 169 22.22 -9.52 200.00 7.65
COUNTY (ALL) AREA Dem Rep MARGIN1 TOTAL1 Dem.1 Rep.1 MARGIN2 TOTAL2 DEM_SH REP_SH MAR_SH TOT_SH
2555 WASHINGTON DAVISBORO 246 370 -124 617 207 362 -155 569 15.85 2.16 -25.00 7.78
2556 WASHINGTON DEEPSTEP 108 342 -234 451 101 332 -231 433 6.48 2.92 1.28 3.99
2557 WASHINGTON HARRISON 257 499 -242 761 212 493 -281 705 17.51 1.20 -16.12 7.36
2558 WASHINGTON OCONEE 184 259 -75 443 153 251 -98 404 16.85 3.09 -30.67 8.80
2559 WASHINGTON RIDDLEVILLE 156 310 -154 469 136 306 -170 442 12.82 1.29 -10.39 5.76
2560 WASHINGTON SANDERSVILLE 2,486 1,974 512 4,471 2,187 1,939 248 4,126 12.03 1.77 51.56 7.72
2561 WASHINGTON TENNILLE 1,003 738 265 1,742 891 722 169 1,613 11.17 2.17 36.23 7.41
2562 WASHINGTON WARTHEN 203 332 -129 539 171 325 -154 496 15.76 2.11 -19.38 7.98
COUNTY (ALL) AREA Dem Rep MARGIN1 TOTAL1 Dem.1 Rep.1 MARGIN2 TOTAL2 DEM_SH REP_SH MAR_SH TOT_SH
2611 WILCOX ABBEVILLE NORTH 2 98 174 -76 274 82 180 -98 262 16.33 -3.45 -28.95 4.38
2612 WILCOX ABBEVILLE SOUTH 5 161 660 -499 823 135 666 -531 801 16.15 -0.91 -6.41 2.67
2613 WILCOX PINEVIEW 2 192 277 -85 469 167 289 -122 456 13.02 -4.33 -43.53 2.77
2614 WILCOX PITTS 3 82 589 -507 672 71 589 -518 660 13.41 0.00 -2.17 1.79
2615 WILCOX ROCHELLE NORTH 1 203 88 115 292 165 105 60 270 18.72 -19.32 47.83 7.53
2616 WILCOX ROCHELLE SOUTH 4 111 705 -594 817 98 701 -603 799 11.71 0.57 -1.52 2.20
Source: Georgia Election Night Reporting, Enhanced Voting, 2024 numbers downloaded at 4:20 PM PST on 11/13/2024
The above graph shows the percentage of ballots (on net) that voted for the Democrat in the first race (President) but did not vote for the Democrat in the second race (US House). These are "on net" in that any ballot that voted for the Democrat US House candidate but not for Harris will be offset by one of the ballots that voted for Harris but not for the US House candidate. As can be seen in the graph, there were many precincts in which there was a dropoff in votes from Harris to the Democrat US House candidate but there were many where there was an increase in votes.
The above graph shows the percentage of ballots (on net) that voted for the Republican in the first race (President) but did not vote for the Republican in the second race (US House). These are "on net" in that any ballot that voted for the Republican US House candidate but not for Trump will be offset by one of the ballots that voted for Trump but not for the US House candidate. As can be seen in the graph, there were many precincts in which there was a dropoff in votes from Trump to the Republican US House candidate but there were many where there was an increase in votes.
It is important to note an major difference between the first graph above and the second and third graphs. Since the first graph has to do with total votes, the popularity of the candidates should have no effect except to possibly motivate more voters to vote only in the race that they are most interested in. However, the second and third graphs will also show voters who voted in both races but simply split their ballots.
The following 3 graphs show the percent of votes in a second race which appear to be "new" or from voters who did not vote for the first race. Taking T, D, and R to denote Total, Democrat, and Republican votes and taking 1 and 2 to denote the first and second race, the y-values in the graphs are calculated via the following formulas:
100 * (T2 - T1) / T2 100 * (D2 - D1) / D2 100 * (R2 - R1) / R2A further discussion of each of the following graphs appears below them:
The above graph shows what are sometimes called "bullet ballots" in that it shows the percentage of ballots (on net) that did not vote in the first race (for Governor) but did vote ("bulleted") the second race (for President). These are "on net" in that any ballot that voted for the Governor race but not the Presidential race will be offset by one of the ballots that voted for the Presidential race but not the Governor race. The y-scale was set to show just those points with the highest percentages. The tables following the 3 graphs show the top precincts. For example, the following line appears for the second highest precinct above:
COUNTY AREA Dem Rep MARGIN1 TOTAL1 Dem.1 Rep.1 MARGIN2 TOTAL2 DEM_SH REP_SH MAR_SH TOT_SH
1142 GUILFORD H11 191 58 133 262 188 89 99 284 -1.60 34.83 -34.34 7.75
The percentage of 7.75 percent is the farmost right value and equals 100 * (TOTAL2 - TOTAL1) / TOTAL2 which equals 100 * (284 - 262) / 284 which equals 7.75 percent.
The above graph shows the percentage of ballots (on net) that did not vote for the Democrat in the first race (Josh Stein) but did vote for the Democrat in the second race (Harris). These are "on net" in that any ballot that voted for Josh Stein but not for Harris will be offset by one of the ballots that voted for Harris but not for Josh Stein. Since support for Stein was greater for Harris, it doesn't really make sense to measure "new votes" for Harris. However, the entire graph is shown above for completeness.
The above graph shows the percentage of ballots (on net) that did not vote for the Republican in the first race (Mark Robinson) but did vote for the Republican in the second race (Trump). These are "on net" in that any ballot that voted for Robinson but not the Trump will be offset by one of the ballots that voted for Trump but not for Robinson. The y-scale was set to show just those points with the highest percentages. The tables below show the top precincts. For example, the following line appears for the second highest precinct above:
COUNTY AREA Dem Rep MARGIN1 TOTAL1 Dem.1 Rep.1 MARGIN2 TOTAL2 DEM_SH REP_SH MAR_SH TOT_SH
2552 WAKE 3-JAN 445 85 360 558 288 270 18 574 -54.51 68.52 -1,900.00 2.79
The percentage of 68.52 percent is the 3rd most right value and equals 100 * (Rep.1 - Rep) / Rep.1 which equals 100 * (270 - 85) / 270 which equals 68.52 percent. That is, on net, 68.52 percent of the Trump votes of 270 did not vote for the Mark Robinson, the Republican candidate for Governor. Of course, Mark Robinson did have controversy so a race other than Governor might be a better race to compare with the Presidential race. This points to an important difference between the first graph above and the second and third graphs. Since the first graph has to do with total votes, the popularity of the candidates should have no effect except to possibly motivate more voters to vote only in the race ("bulleting the race") that they are most interested in. However, the second and third graphs will also show "new voters" who voted in both races but simply split their ballots.
NC: % New in Total Votes from 2024 NC GOVERNOR to 2024 US PRESIDENT (Count % new)
COUNTY AREA Dem Rep MARGIN1 TOTAL1 Dem.1 Rep.1 MARGIN2 TOTAL2 DEM_SH REP_SH MAR_SH TOT_SH
65 ASHE 10 44 117 -73 170 37 136 -99 177 -18.92 13.97 26.26 3.95
66 ASHE 11 526 999 -473 1,589 405 1,212 -807 1,632 -29.88 17.57 41.39 2.63
67 ASHE 12 152 303 -151 479 148 337 -189 492 -2.70 10.09 20.11 2.64
68 ASHE 13 340 554 -214 938 271 686 -415 961 -25.46 19.24 48.43 2.39
69 ASHE 14 796 989 -193 1,879 639 1,277 -638 1,938 -24.57 22.55 69.75 3.04
70 ASHE 15 209 463 -254 722 130 606 -476 740 -60.77 23.60 46.64 2.43
71 ASHE 16 682 1,018 -336 1,788 547 1,257 -710 1,831 -24.68 19.01 52.68 2.35
72 ASHE 17 145 399 -254 560 114 458 -344 577 -27.19 12.88 26.16 2.95
73 ASHE 18 26 71 -45 104 29 83 -54 114 10.34 14.46 16.67 8.77
74 ASHE 2 269 643 -374 951 203 776 -573 989 -32.51 17.14 34.73 3.84
COUNTY AREA Dem Rep MARGIN1 TOTAL1 Dem.1 Rep.1 MARGIN2 TOTAL2 DEM_SH REP_SH MAR_SH TOT_SH
744 DURHAM 20 166 15 151 190 165 25 140 196 -0.61 40.00 -7.86 3.06
745 DURHAM 21 249 8 241 266 232 24 208 270 -7.33 66.67 -15.87 1.48
746 DURHAM 22 570 72 498 677 570 97 473 689 0.00 25.77 -5.29 1.74
747 DURHAM 23 647 98 549 797 640 137 503 806 -1.09 28.47 -9.15 1.12
748 DURHAM 24 334 55 279 412 313 107 206 429 -6.71 48.60 -35.44 3.96
749 DURHAM 25 190 120 70 333 158 161 -3 330 -20.25 25.47 2,433.33 -0.91
750 DURHAM 26 132 135 -3 295 99 194 -95 300 -33.33 30.41 96.84 1.67
751 DURHAM 27 310 52 258 381 259 106 153 384 -19.69 50.94 -68.63 0.78
752 DURHAM 28 275 329 -54 650 210 431 -221 651 -30.95 23.67 75.57 0.15
753 DURHAM 29 378 172 206 586 350 225 125 595 -8.00 23.56 -64.80 1.51
COUNTY AREA Dem Rep MARGIN1 TOTAL1 Dem.1 Rep.1 MARGIN2 TOTAL2 DEM_SH REP_SH MAR_SH TOT_SH
1037 GUILFORD ABSENTEE 8,928 2,574 6,354 11,963 8,182 3,934 4,248 12,290 -9.12 34.57 -49.58 2.66
1038 GUILFORD CG1 229 55 174 305 200 107 93 319 -14.50 48.60 -87.10 4.39
1039 GUILFORD CG2 181 98 83 308 145 155 -10 311 -24.83 36.77 930.00 0.96
1040 GUILFORD CG3A 137 63 74 217 116 99 17 223 -18.10 36.36 -335.29 2.69
1041 GUILFORD CG3B 229 96 133 348 180 159 21 353 -27.22 39.62 -533.33 1.42
1042 GUILFORD EARLYVOTE 142,942 61,111 81,831 213,133 131,085 83,339 47,746 217,284 -9.05 26.67 -71.39 1.91
1043 GUILFORD FEN1 331 65 266 422 310 96 214 425 -6.77 32.29 -24.30 0.71
1044 GUILFORD FEN2 155 141 14 327 119 198 -79 329 -30.25 28.79 117.72 0.61
1045 GUILFORD FR1 451 144 307 655 428 209 219 666 -5.37 31.10 -40.18 1.65
1046 GUILFORD FR2 163 84 79 263 137 118 19 266 -18.98 28.81 -315.79 1.13
1047 GUILFORD FR3 170 80 90 278 143 120 23 276 -18.88 33.33 -291.30 -0.72
1048 GUILFORD FR4 140 65 75 224 109 111 -2 227 -28.44 41.44 3,850.00 1.32
1049 GUILFORD FR5A 203 112 91 346 163 179 -16 354 -24.54 37.43 668.75 2.26
1050 GUILFORD FR5B 112 75 37 204 94 113 -19 210 -19.15 33.63 294.74 2.86
COUNTY AREA Dem Rep MARGIN1 TOTAL1 Dem.1 Rep.1 MARGIN2 TOTAL2 DEM_SH REP_SH MAR_SH TOT_SH
1132 GUILFORD H01 271 99 172 398 269 137 132 414 -0.74 27.74 -30.30 3.86
1133 GUILFORD H02 188 64 124 275 139 128 11 279 -35.25 50.00 -1,027.27 1.43
1134 GUILFORD H03 184 62 122 267 183 99 84 289 -0.55 37.37 -45.24 7.61
1135 GUILFORD H04 213 119 94 373 190 168 22 378 -12.11 29.17 -327.27 1.32
1136 GUILFORD H05 270 45 225 348 271 75 196 358 0.37 40.00 -14.80 2.79
1137 GUILFORD H06 248 132 116 415 215 185 30 421 -15.35 28.65 -286.67 1.43
1138 GUILFORD H07 192 25 167 230 200 38 162 241 4.00 34.21 -3.09 4.56
1139 GUILFORD H08 176 30 146 221 186 37 149 230 5.38 18.92 2.01 3.91
1140 GUILFORD H09 203 28 175 252 217 46 171 267 6.45 39.13 -2.34 5.62
1141 GUILFORD H10 273 43 230 335 267 67 200 346 -2.25 35.82 -15.00 3.18
1142 GUILFORD H11 191 58 133 262 188 89 99 284 -1.60 34.83 -34.34 7.75
1143 GUILFORD H12 154 41 113 208 155 49 106 208 0.65 16.33 -6.60 0.00
COUNTY AREA Dem Rep MARGIN1 TOTAL1 Dem.1 Rep.1 MARGIN2 TOTAL2 DEM_SH REP_SH MAR_SH TOT_SH
1920 ORANGE DM 212 27 185 250 190 48 142 253 -11.58 43.75 -30.28 1.19
1921 ORANGE EA1 164 14 150 185 144 43 101 191 -13.89 67.44 -48.51 3.14
1922 ORANGE EF 167 154 13 337 123 213 -90 343 -35.77 27.70 114.44 1.75
1923 ORANGE EH 128 14 114 157 114 35 79 160 -12.28 60.00 -44.30 1.88
1924 ORANGE ENO 198 142 56 368 161 199 -38 374 -22.98 28.64 247.37 1.60
1925 ORANGE ES 205 21 184 234 183 48 135 239 -12.02 56.25 -36.30 2.09
1926 ORANGE EV CHL 11,079 1,039 10,040 12,455 10,715 1,676 9,039 12,577 -3.40 38.01 -11.07 0.97
1927 ORANGE EV CL 10,514 773 9,741 11,545 10,333 1,160 9,173 11,688 -1.75 33.36 -6.19 1.22
1928 ORANGE EV COTC 8,099 586 7,513 8,920 7,761 1,086 6,675 8,994 -4.36 46.04 -12.55 0.82
1929 ORANGE EV ECC 4,958 3,223 1,735 8,547 4,491 4,126 365 8,710 -10.40 21.89 -375.34 1.87
1930 ORANGE EV OW 11,248 4,136 7,112 15,879 10,516 5,460 5,056 16,170 -6.96 24.25 -40.66 1.80
1931 ORANGE EV SCH 9,212 1,143 8,069 10,620 8,841 1,730 7,111 10,725 -4.20 33.93 -13.47 0.98
1932 ORANGE GB 353 125 228 512 295 200 95 525 -19.66 37.50 -140.00 2.48
1933 ORANGE GL 195 37 158 249 164 74 90 253 -18.90 50.00 -75.56 1.58
1934 ORANGE H 112 16 96 135 103 30 73 137 -8.74 46.67 -31.51 1.46
1935 ORANGE HE 150 54 96 217 121 93 28 227 -23.97 41.94 -242.86 4.41
1936 ORANGE HF 222 45 177 284 195 81 114 291 -13.85 44.44 -55.26 2.41
1937 ORANGE HN 152 57 95 235 122 113 9 246 -24.59 49.56 -955.56 4.47
1938 ORANGE KM 140 20 120 186 132 51 81 190 -6.06 60.78 -48.15 2.11
1939 ORANGE NC 128 15 113 152 111 39 72 156 -15.32 61.54 -56.94 2.56
1940 ORANGE NS 178 33 145 223 164 62 102 231 -8.54 46.77 -42.16 3.46
1941 ORANGE OG 312 212 100 559 256 291 -35 568 -21.88 27.15 385.71 1.58
1942 ORANGE OW1 244 30 214 301 230 47 183 303 -6.09 36.17 -16.94 0.66
1943 ORANGE PA 212 65 147 295 184 99 85 297 -15.22 34.34 -72.94 0.67
1944 ORANGE RE 228 57 171 305 194 97 97 311 -17.53 41.24 -76.29 1.93
1945 ORANGE RF 239 26 213 275 216 57 159 283 -10.65 54.39 -33.96 2.83
1946 ORANGE SJ 203 40 163 258 170 77 93 260 -19.41 48.05 -75.27 0.77
1947 ORANGE SM 202 161 41 396 151 238 -87 408 -33.77 32.35 147.13 2.94
1948 ORANGE TH1 139 9 130 157 135 17 118 157 -2.96 47.06 -10.17 0.00
1949 ORANGE TO 188 148 40 350 148 210 -62 367 -27.03 29.52 164.52 4.63
1950 ORANGE UNC 403 60 343 493 348 148 200 515 -15.80 59.46 -71.50 4.27
1951 ORANGE WC 244 141 103 409 207 199 8 419 -17.87 29.15 -1,187.50 2.39
1952 ORANGE WD 170 33 137 216 156 54 102 220 -8.97 38.89 -34.31 1.82
1953 ORANGE WDS 240 0 240 240 242 6 236 248 0.83 100.00 -1.69 3.23
1954 ORANGE WH 230 66 164 309 219 91 128 315 -5.02 27.47 -28.12 1.90
COUNTY AREA Dem Rep MARGIN1 TOTAL1 Dem.1 Rep.1 MARGIN2 TOTAL2 DEM_SH REP_SH MAR_SH TOT_SH
2408 WAKE 01-07A 82 14 68 106 80 24 56 106 -2.50 41.67 -21.43 0.00
2409 WAKE 07-07A 322 37 285 372 273 98 175 378 -17.95 62.24 -62.86 1.59
2410 WAKE 1-APR 301 90 211 426 248 146 102 426 -21.37 38.36 -106.86 0.00
2411 WAKE 1-DEC 608 404 204 1,115 453 643 -190 1,135 -34.22 37.17 207.37 1.76
2412 WAKE 1-FEB 399 198 201 657 311 326 -15 665 -28.30 39.26 1,440.00 1.20
2413 WAKE 1-JAN 301 58 243 377 258 112 146 385 -16.67 48.21 -66.44 2.08
2414 WAKE 1-JUL 319 94 225 445 282 159 123 454 -13.12 40.88 -82.93 1.98
2415 WAKE 1-MAR 690 323 367 1,104 535 540 -5 1,116 -28.97 40.19 7,440.00 1.08
2416 WAKE 1-MAY 514 202 312 783 447 317 130 798 -14.99 36.28 -140.00 1.88
2417 WAKE 1-NOV 598 188 410 858 500 340 160 871 -19.60 44.71 -156.25 1.49
2418 WAKE 1-OCT 105 97 8 224 73 147 -74 229 -43.84 34.01 110.81 2.18
2419 WAKE 1-SEP 186 228 -42 453 165 289 -124 461 -12.73 21.11 66.13 1.74
2420 WAKE 10-APR 375 138 237 553 310 216 94 559 -20.97 36.11 -152.13 1.07
2421 WAKE 10-AUG 345 120 225 513 311 189 122 520 -10.93 36.51 -84.43 1.35
2422 WAKE 10-DEC 484 270 214 839 363 471 -108 856 -33.33 42.68 298.15 1.99
2423 WAKE 10-JAN 384 71 313 494 301 188 113 504 -27.57 62.23 -176.99 1.98
2424 WAKE 10-JUL 500 166 334 728 425 280 145 744 -17.65 40.71 -130.34 2.15
2425 WAKE 10-JUN 668 444 224 1,234 537 679 -142 1,265 -24.39 34.61 257.75 2.45
2426 WAKE 11-APR 165 44 121 228 147 68 79 227 -12.24 35.29 -53.16 -0.44
2427 WAKE 11-AUG 602 210 392 898 503 364 139 911 -19.68 42.31 -182.01 1.43
2428 WAKE 11-DEC 231 159 72 439 191 238 -47 448 -20.94 33.19 253.19 2.01
2429 WAKE 11-JAN 470 135 335 645 298 348 -50 661 -57.72 61.21 770.00 2.42
2430 WAKE 11-JUL 192 69 123 274 137 133 4 279 -40.15 48.12 -2,975.00 1.79
2431 WAKE 11-JUN 172 107 65 297 144 144 0 299 -19.44 25.69 -Inf 0.67
2432 WAKE 12-APR 313 119 194 488 255 218 37 511 -22.75 45.41 -424.32 4.50
2433 WAKE 12-JAN 448 108 340 605 363 232 131 609 -23.42 53.45 -159.54 0.66
2434 WAKE 12-JUL 332 95 237 459 275 177 98 467 -20.73 46.33 -141.84 1.71
COUNTY AREA Dem Rep MARGIN1 TOTAL1 Dem.1 Rep.1 MARGIN2 TOTAL2 DEM_SH REP_SH MAR_SH TOT_SH
2544 WAKE 25-JAN 145 14 131 170 139 28 111 170 -4.32 50.00 -18.02 0.00
2545 WAKE 26-JAN 317 19 298 350 308 39 269 358 -2.92 51.28 -10.78 2.23
2546 WAKE 27-JAN 455 55 400 536 419 109 310 541 -8.59 49.54 -29.03 0.92
2547 WAKE 28-JAN 641 91 550 778 586 172 414 786 -9.39 47.09 -32.85 1.02
2548 WAKE 29-JAN 422 89 333 546 295 241 54 546 -43.05 63.07 -516.67 0.00
2549 WAKE 3-APR 329 115 214 493 279 192 87 495 -17.92 40.10 -145.98 0.40
2550 WAKE 3-AUG 648 272 376 1,007 550 446 104 1,025 -17.82 39.01 -261.54 1.76
2551 WAKE 3-FEB 210 169 41 427 152 272 -120 436 -38.16 37.87 134.17 2.06
2552 WAKE 3-JAN 445 85 360 558 288 270 18 574 -54.51 68.52 -1,900.00 2.79
2553 WAKE 3-JUL 196 57 139 275 152 115 37 277 -28.95 50.43 -275.68 0.72
2554 WAKE 3-MAY 467 171 296 711 367 325 42 735 -27.25 47.38 -604.76 3.27
2555 WAKE 3-OCT 313 148 165 493 262 217 45 499 -19.47 31.80 -266.67 1.20
2556 WAKE 3-SEP 368 227 141 639 352 276 76 647 -4.55 17.75 -85.53 1.24
2557 WAKE 30-JAN 196 39 157 266 153 107 46 270 -28.10 63.55 -241.30 1.48
2558 WAKE 31-JAN 454 115 339 633 419 191 228 649 -8.35 39.79 -48.68 2.47
2559 WAKE 4-APR 240 98 142 381 223 154 69 392 -7.62 36.36 -105.80 2.81
2560 WAKE 4-AUG 270 125 145 437 223 217 6 448 -21.08 42.40 -2,316.67 2.46
2561 WAKE 4-DEC 579 584 -5 1,267 429 835 -406 1,295 -34.97 30.06 98.77 2.16
2562 WAKE 4-FEB 243 130 113 406 180 213 -33 410 -35.00 38.97 442.42 0.98
2563 WAKE 4-JAN 233 39 194 291 176 110 66 293 -32.39 64.55 -193.94 0.68
2564 WAKE 4-JUL 484 139 345 680 419 239 180 691 -15.51 41.84 -91.67 1.59
2565 WAKE 4-JUN 463 209 254 758 367 372 -5 779 -26.16 43.82 5,180.00 2.70
2566 WAKE 5-APR 406 133 273 608 320 245 75 620 -26.88 45.71 -264.00 1.94
2567 WAKE 5-AUG 264 105 159 413 215 195 20 424 -22.79 46.15 -695.00 2.59
2568 WAKE 5-FEB 179 87 92 289 138 139 -1 288 -29.71 37.41 9,300.00 -0.35
2569 WAKE 5-JAN 312 68 244 401 231 178 53 417 -35.06 61.80 -360.38 3.84
2570 WAKE 5-JUL 245 81 164 361 193 149 44 361 -26.94 45.64 -272.73 0.00
COUNTY AREA Dem Rep MARGIN1 TOTAL1 Dem.1 Rep.1 MARGIN2 TOTAL2 DEM_SH REP_SH MAR_SH TOT_SH
2595 WAKE 9-APR 353 150 203 554 273 263 10 567 -29.30 42.97 -1,930.00 2.29
2596 WAKE 9-AUG 258 76 182 366 227 137 90 374 -13.66 44.53 -102.22 2.14
2597 WAKE 9-DEC 556 362 194 1,018 408 598 -190 1,041 -36.27 39.46 202.11 2.21
2598 WAKE 9-JAN 335 29 306 382 288 86 202 385 -16.32 66.28 -51.49 0.78
2599 WAKE 9-JUL 386 119 267 560 322 232 90 575 -19.88 48.71 -196.67 2.61
2600 WAKE ABSEN 33,801 7,270 26,531 42,879 31,233 11,848 19,385 43,829 -8.22 38.64 -36.86 2.17
2601 WAKE EVAB 17,321 8,469 8,852 27,294 15,350 12,103 3,247 27,817 -12.84 30.03 -172.62 1.88
2602 WAKE EVAV 13,334 5,682 7,652 20,074 12,052 8,026 4,026 20,365 -10.64 29.21 -90.06 1.43
2603 WAKE EVBOE 10,413 2,275 8,138 13,186 10,016 3,149 6,867 13,351 -3.96 27.75 -18.51 1.24
Source: North Carolina Historical Election Results Data, 2024 numbers downloaded at 8:22 AM PST on 11/12/2024
The following 3 graphs show the percent of votes in a second race which appear to be "new" or from voters who did not vote for the first race. Taking T, D, and R to denote Total, Democrat, and Republican votes and taking 1 and 2 to denote the first and second race, the y-values in the graphs are calculated via the following formulas:
100 * (T2 - T1) / T2 100 * (D2 - D1) / D2 100 * (R2 - R1) / R2
The following 3 graphs show the percent of votes in a second race which appear to be "new" or from voters who did not vote for the first race. Taking T, D, and R to denote Total, Democrat, and Republican votes and taking 1 and 2 to denote the first and second race, the y-values in the graphs are calculated via the following formulas:
100 * (T2 - T1) / T2 100 * (D2 - D1) / D2 100 * (R2 - R1) / R2Previously, all 3 of the graphs below showed numerous precinct that had "new votes" for the Presidential race which did not appear to vote in the U.S. House races. It was found that the reason for this was that dome precincts have multiple House races and those multiple House races needed to be aggragated into a single House race. That has now been done.
The above graph shows what are sometimes called "bullet ballots" in that it shows the percentage of ballots (on net) that did not vote in the first race (for the House) but did vote ("bulleted") the second race (for President). These are "on net" in that any ballot that voted for the House race but not the Presidential race will be offset by one of the ballots that voted for the Presidential race but not the House race. The y-scale was set to show just those points with the highest percentages.
It is unclear why several precincts in Cabarrus County show very high percentages but did not show up for the Governor or Lt. Governor race above. It would be worth invesigating whether there is something unique about that House race. However, at least Robeson:17 and Mitchell:7 can be seen having high percentages for all of the Governor, Lt. Governor, and House races being compared to the President race. A careful inspection of the data might well reveal others.
Pennsylvania, Allegheny County - Percent Drop in Total Votes from President to US Senate in 2024
The following graph shows the percentage of voters in a first race who appear not to vote in a second race. Taking T denote Total votes and taking 1 and 2 to denote the first and second race, the y-values in the graphs are calculated via the following formula:
100 * (T1 - T2) / T1
The above graph shows what are sometimes called "bullet ballots" in that it shows the percentage of ballots which voted in a first race (President) which did not vote in a second race (US Senate). These are "on net" in that any ballot that voted in the US Senate race but not in the Presidential race will be offset by one of the ballots that voted in the Presidential race but not in the Senate race.
Because of the difficulty in reading the names of the top precincts, the above graph shows a closeup of that range. The tables below show the numbers for the precincts above with percentages of 4.8 and above. It should be noted that this section does not include graphs showing the same values for Democrats and Republicans because the source data did not include the candidate's party.